Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.185674 0.207618 0.230433 0.255871 0.283383 0.312186 0.344564
2025-01-19 0.154532 0.184193 0.216477 0.254041 0.296351 0.342344 0.395924
2025-01-26 0.133834 0.168688 0.208155 0.255749 0.311172 0.373263 0.447654
2025-02-02 0.121130 0.160397 0.206415 0.263632 0.332139 0.410808 0.507218
2025-02-09 0.107678 0.149525 0.200199 0.265028 0.344653 0.438152 0.555064
2025-02-16 0.097191 0.141083 0.195864 0.267779 0.358137 0.466338 0.604014
2025-02-23 0.091572 0.138176 0.197882 0.278001 0.380603 0.505476 0.666654
2025-03-02 0.081722 0.128674 0.190557 0.275573 0.386658 0.524163 0.704289
2025-03-09 0.074091 0.121453 0.185560 0.275560 0.395330 0.545864 0.745673
2025-03-16 0.066918 0.114199 0.179900 0.274108 0.401705 0.564418 0.783099
2025-03-23 0.062824 0.111031 0.179555 0.279590 0.417099 0.594583 0.835580
2025-03-30 0.057756 0.105941 0.176088 0.280421 0.426036 0.616313 0.877384
2025-04-06 0.052687 0.100648 0.172292 0.280991 0.435153 0.639209 0.922223
2025-04-13 0.047610 0.094875 0.167379 0.279629 0.441413 0.658317 0.962375
2025-04-20 0.043917 0.091019 0.165058 0.281803 0.452513 0.684005 1.011582
2025-04-27 0.042070 0.090104 0.167152 0.290477 0.472936 0.722640 1.078663
2025-05-04 0.038826 0.086452 0.164679 0.292086 0.483139 0.747352 1.127295
2025-05-11 0.036167 0.083585 0.163242 0.295107 0.495329 0.774903 1.180093
2025-05-18 0.035284 0.083894 0.166955 0.306141 0.519451 0.819425 1.256693
2025-05-25 0.031946 0.079250 0.162142 0.303548 0.523198 0.835277 1.293964
2025-06-01 0.029360 0.075797 0.159098 0.303545 0.530685 0.856408 1.338715
2025-06-08 0.026750 0.072022 0.155236 0.301988 0.535653 0.873893 1.378492
2025-06-15 0.025493 0.070908 0.155962 0.307890 0.552084 0.908059 1.442081